See which NFL players are most likely to break down before you draft or bet.

Every player gets a durability score built from 25 seasons of data. Higher score, higher risk. That's the whole idea.

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Try 5 free picks — search any NFL player, get a real frailty report. No account, no card.

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What's Inside

Full Featured Interface

This is what you get after signing up. Live data, real players, updated weekly.

Fantasy Roster Risk Dashboard
Featured
Fantasy Roster Risk Dashboard
Build your 12-player fantasy lineup and watch the aggregate frailty score update in real time. Spot weak links before they cost you a week.
1
850+ Players Scored Every skill-position player on all 32 teams, from QB1s to RB3s — ranked and updated weekly.
2
Six Risk Tiers Low to High-Risk bands, calibrated per position. High-Risk flags hit at 7.1x the league injury rate.
3
Full Frailty Reports Every player gets a detailed report — frailty score, position context, injury history, and durability forecast.
4
Live nflverse Data Rosters and stats refresh from the official nflverse feed. You're always looking at current data.
Get Full Access — $39/Season
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Premium Feature
Risers & Fallers
Frailty scores move. Track every player's momentum week to week — green arrows mean improving durability, red means trending toward risk. Updated in real time.
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Premium Feature
Team-by-Team Overalls
Every roster gets an aggregate frailty score. Stack divisions side by side, spot which teams are one injury away from disaster — plan around durability, not depth charts.
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Premium Feature
Game-by-Game Overalls
Frailty projected per matchup on every game. See the risk picture before kickoff — set lineups, fade props, find edges the injury report won't catch until Sunday morning.
Complete NFL Player Risk Assessments

Complete Player Assessments

Position-aware frailty scores for every rostered skill player. Sort, search, and compare across the entire league.

Detailed Risk Assessment Reports

Detailed Risk Reports

In-depth breakdowns with injury history, workload analysis, position context, and actionable durability forecasts.

Industry-Leading Data

Industry-Leading Data

25 seasons of historical data powering the model. Weekly stat refreshes keep your edge sharp all season long.

The Problem

Everyone knows when a player is hurt. Nobody sees it coming.

By the time ESPN flashes that injury update, the prop has closed, the DFS lineup is locked, and your trade window is gone. You're reacting to news alongside the crowd instead of managing risk before it materializes.

Sportsbooks price player props off recent production — not forward-looking durability.
Fantasy platforms show last week's points. Zero signal on whether that workhorse RB survives Week 8.
Injury analysts work from public medical reports — priced into the market the moment they drop.
The Difference

Everyone else tells you
how to win.
We show you how not to lose.

Do your own autopsies. Use your own rankings, your own likes, your own lists. We want you to use our tools to make your decisions far better and more accurate — not replace your gut, sharpen it.

Accuracy
7.1x the injury rate at High-Risk. Validated on the 2025 holdout.
We trained on 2024 injuries and tested against the unseen 2025 set — no peeking, no leakage. 81% ROC-AUC, 7.1× the league baseline at High-Risk. Every number recomputable from the 2025 Results tab.
Similarity
All other sites and apps are 90% the same.
They repackage public injury reports and call it analysis. They're horribly inaccurate, cost much more, and show you what already happened — not what's about to.
Pricing
$39/season or $99 for life. No tiers, no upsells, no auto-renew.
Less than one bet for the season. Less than the change in your couch for a lifetime. Every Pro feature ships free to all subscribers — we add value, not fees.
Dirty Little Secrets
The full breakdown — with receipts.
We've got about 10 dense, robust data points — competitor pricing comparisons, methodology breakdowns, validation details. Way too much for a home page. Sign up and check the full Learn More tab for every comparison, every data point, every receipt.
See the dirty little secrets →
How to Use

We've got you covered with 7 different ways.

DFS cash games, prop betting, draft day, best ball, dynasty, futures, auction — same frailty score, different edge depending on your game.

Explore all 7 use cases →
INJSUR is a decision-support tool. Past backtest accuracy does not guarantee future results. Use our data alongside your own research — we're here to sharpen your edge, not make decisions for you.
What INJSUR Does

A durability score for every player, before the season starts.

Our patent-pending algorithm scores every skill-position player on a 40–85 frailty scale. Higher score = higher injury risk. Built from workload, contact rate, age, injury history, and positional hazard data — not expert opinions or medical reports.

Offensive Line Analysis
850+ Players Scored
Every skill-position player across all 32 NFL teams, scored and ranked with position-aware calibration. QBs through RB3s — no blind spots.
Multiple Indicators
Risk Tiers
Low, Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, Elevated, High — clear actionable tiers calibrated per position. High-Risk players hit at 7.1x the league baseline injury rate.
Your Roster Dashboard
Full reports on your picks!
Build your exact fantasy lineup. Aggregate frailty updates in real time as you swap players — identify weak links before injuries cost you a week.

The model

A logistic-regression and neural-network ensemble trained on five seasons of NFL notable-injury data (2022–2026). It scores every player across 20 features: position-specific hazard rates, cumulative workload (carries, targets, sacks, tackles), contact rate, negative-play frequency, YAC exposure, age, experience, and five recency-weighted injury-history variables.

No peeking

The model never sees player names, team IDs, or outcome labels from the season it's predicting. Trained on 2024 labels, evaluated out-of-sample against the unseen 2025 injury set — 81% ROC-AUC, fully reproducible. We hold the complete 2024 notable-injury catalog and can model against any season on demand.

Try AI first

Go ask ChatGPT who's getting hurt this year. It'll refuse. That's why this exists.

Proof

Real Bettor Outcomes

We ran every notable 2025 NFL injury through the model pre-season and asked: was a same-position alternative available that INJSUR ranked as both safer and more productive?

Avoidable Injuries · 2025 Backtest
18 flagged
Of the meaningful 2025 injuries, 18 had a safer same-position alternative INJSUR would've flagged — with no double-counting. Below are a few examples. See the full backtest →
Ranking Accuracy (2025 holdout)
81% ROC-AUC
Out-of-sample on the unseen 2025 injury set. The model correctly ranked the injured player higher 81% of the time.
High-Risk Flag Lift
7.1×
Players flagged High-Risk (frailty ≥ 75) got injured at 7.1× the league base rate in 2025.
Total PPR Gained
+1,113
Fantasy points you would've gained by swapping each avoidable injury for INJSUR's safer alternative across all 15 unique swaps.

A few swaps the model flagged pre-season

Chris Godwin
WR · TB
83.6 →
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA
80.0
+280.9 PPR · 3.6 pts safer
CeeDee Lamb
WR · DAL
81.2 →
George Pickens
WR · PIT
78.7
+89.0 PPR · 2.5 pts safer
Daniel Jones
QB · NYG
84.3 →
Matthew Stafford
QB · LAR
78.3
+124.0 PPR · 6.0 pts safer

Full honesty: Some injuries weren't avoidable via a safer same-position swap. A few low-production injuries were excluded from the meaningful threshold (below 50-PPR floor). 25 of 53 notable 2025 injuries didn't map to a fantasy roster (retired, free agents, defensive). Every number reproducible from the repo.

2025 Results

What the model saw
before anyone else.

We fed every notable 2025 injury through INJSUR's pre-season model and asked a simple question: could you have seen it coming? In most cases, the answer was yes.

High-Risk Flag · 7.1x Lift
Chris Godwin
WR · TB
Frailty: 83.6

Pre-season frailty score placed Godwin in the top tier of injury risk. INJSUR flagged Jaxon Smith-Njigba (frailty: 80.0) as a safer, more productive alternative — +280.9 PPR gained. The model saw the durability gap before the season started.

High-Risk Flag · 7.1x Lift
CeeDee Lamb
WR · DAL
Frailty: 81.2

Pre-season frailty placed Lamb in the high-risk tier among WR1s. INJSUR flagged George Pickens (frailty: 78.7) as a safer, more productive alternative — +89.0 PPR gained. The model caught the durability risk before anyone else.

High-Risk Flag · 7.1x Lift
Daniel Jones
QB · NYG
Frailty: 84.3

Second-highest frailty among rostered QBs pre-season. INJSUR's alternative Matthew Stafford (frailty: 78.3) was 6.0 points safer and delivered +124.0 PPR more. The tradeoff was clear before anyone got hurt.

The Bottom Line
15 of 19
avoidable
79% Avoidable

15 of 19 bettor-relevant 2025 injuries had a unique safer, more productive same-position alternative flagged by INJSUR. Total fantasy edge: +1,113 PPR across all swaps. See the full results →

One season. One price.
All The Edge.

Every tool, every team, every player — unlocked. No tiers, no upsells, no auto-renew.

Pick Your Plan

One Price Gets Everything.

Same features on both plans. $39 for the season, $99 once for lifetime access.

Every plan includes
850+ Players ScoredAll 32 teams, every skill position, weekly updates
Position-Aware Frailty ScoresCalibrated separately per QB, RB, WR, TE
Full Player ReportsInjury history, risk factors, frailty driver breakdown per player
12-Slot Roster BuilderBuild your lineup, see aggregate risk, spot the weak link
Backtested & Validated81% ROC-AUC on the unseen 2025 injury set
Risers & FallersReal-time frailty momentum — see who's improving and who's trending toward injury week by week
Team-by-Team OverallsAggregate frailty for every roster — compare teams, spot fragile divisions, plan your season
Game-by-Game OverallsMatchup-level risk projections — know the frailty picture before kickoff, all season long
Ad-Free · No Auto-RenewNo ads, no spam, one-time payment
2026 Season Pass
$39 / season

Full access for the entire 2026 NFL season — every team, every player, every week.

Less than one bet for the season.

Best Value Lifetime Membership
$99 / one-time

Pay once — use every NFL season, including every algorithm update and new feature we ship.

Less than the change in your couch for a lifetime.

81% ROC-AUC on the unseen 2025 holdout. Full validation and competitive comparisons available.

See Accuracy & Validation →
Pro & Protect

Pro Features Coming Soon.
Every Subscription Upgrades Free.

Lock in your subscription now and get every Pro feature as it ships — no upsells, no add-on fees. Here's what's on the roadmap.

Alerts
Player Alerts
Set alerts on any player. Get notified when their frailty score moves — up or down — so you're always ahead of the injury report.
Watchlist
Watchlist
Pin your guys. One place to track every player you're monitoring across fantasy, betting, and dynasty — frailty updates on every visit.
Social
Social Widgets
Shareable frailty cards, player comparisons, and trend snapshots — built for Twitter/X, Discord, and group chats. Post your edge.
Team vs Team
Team vs. Team
Side-by-side frailty comparisons for any two teams. Stack rosters, compare skill groups, find the durability edge in every matchup.
Game vs Game
Game vs. Game
Every matchup, every week. Click any game to see the full frailty breakdown — skill groups, individual players, live odds overlay.
Payments
One-Click Payments
Apple Pay, Venmo, saved credit cards — renew or upgrade in one tap. We'll support whatever payment method is already on your device.

More features, more value — all included. We're building this for the long haul.

Learn More

One score.
Every game.

The same frailty score powers every format — DFS, props, season-long, dynasty, best ball. See how the model works and how to apply it to the games you already play.

The Model
See how the patent-pending AI engine turns 20 measurable features into a single durability score — trained on five seasons of NFL injury data.
Learn how scores are built →
Strategy
DFS cash games, prop betting, draft day, best ball, dynasty, futures — detailed strategies for applying frailty scores to every format.
Explore all 7 ways to play →
Try AI First. Then Come Back.

Go ask ChatGPT who's getting hurt this season. It'll refuse — or it'll give you a generic disclaimer about how it can't predict injuries. That's not a limitation of AI. It's a limitation of general-purpose AI. INJSUR was built for exactly one question: which players carry the most durability risk? And it answers it with statistical rigor, not guesswork.

Specialized models beat general ones every time. That's the whole idea.

See How the Model Works →
Why I Built This
"When I was a kid, my dad and I read the sports lines in USA Today every morning like other families read the funnies. I thought I had it all figured out. Then Week 1 of the '91 season, Randall Cunningham blows out his knee on the first play of the second quarter, and my whole year went down with him. I didn't lose because I picked wrong. I lost because nobody was even looking at who was most likely to get hurt. Thirty-five years later, I built the thing I wish I'd had that morning."

Built by an avid fantasy football player and bettor with 35 years in the game. Not a hedge fund, not a chatbot. Read the full story →

Newsletter

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Weekly frailty score updates, key injury trends, and research notes. No spam — unsubscribe anytime.

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FAQ

Got questions?

Coverage, validation, updates, pricing — everything you need to know, answered in one place.

Read the full FAQ →
$39/season · $99 lifetime

Stop Leaving Edge
On The Table.

Type any name, see the frailty score. No account, no card. When you're ready, lock in the full season for $39 — or pay $99 once for lifetime access.

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INJSUR is a decision-support tool. Past backtest accuracy does not guarantee future results. Please play and wager within your limits.