Does this predict specific injuries?
No. No tool can tell you exactly who will get hurt and when. INJSUR quantifies the statistical likelihood of injury risk based on workload, contact exposure, and durability history. A High-Risk flag (frailty ≥ 75) corresponded to a 7.1× higher base rate of notable injury in 2025 — meaningful edge, not a guarantee. INJSUR is a decision-support tool for entertainment and analysis.
What is INJSUR?
A patent-pending injury-risk scoring platform for NFL fantasy and sports betting. It uses a position-aware machine-learning engine trained on five seasons of notable-injury data and per-player workload stats to produce a calibrated frailty score for every rostered player.
How was the algorithm validated?
The model was trained on 2024 injury labels and evaluated out-of-sample against the unseen 2025 injury set — 81% ROC-AUC, 68% top-20% capture rate, 84% of injured players ranked in the top half pre-season. Same model now scoring every 2026 roster live.
What does it cover?
All 32 NFL teams, all skill-position players. Each position has its own calibrated scoring curve — a frailty of 60 on a RB is not the same as a 60 on a QB.
Is it updated during the season?
Yes. Scores recalculate with the latest stats every week throughout the season.
How much does it cost?
$39 for the 2026 season, or $99 once for lifetime access — same features on both. One-time payment, no auto-renew.