Does this predict specific injuries?
No. No tool can tell you exactly who will get hurt and when. The frailty score is a durability index — it ranks each player's injury risk against the rest of the league based on workload, contact exposure, and durability history; it is not a percent chance of injury. Players flagged in the elevated-risk bands missed time at ~1.7× the league base rate in 2025 — meaningful edge, not a guarantee. INJSUR is a decision-support tool for entertainment and analysis.
What is INJSUR?
An injury-risk scoring platform for NFL fantasy and sports betting. It uses machine learning informed by 25 seasons of historical data — with each score factoring the player's notable-injury history from the last five seasons (2022–2026) — to produce a calibrated frailty score for every rostered player.
How was the algorithm validated?
The model was calibrated on 2024 injury labels and evaluated out-of-sample against the unseen 2025 injury set — 72% ROC-AUC, 32% top-20% capture rate, 78% of injured players ranked in the top half pre-season. Same model now scoring every 2026 roster live.
What does it cover?
All 32 NFL teams, all skill-position players. Each position has its own calibrated scoring curve — a frailty of 60 on a RB is not the same as a 60 on a QB.
Is it updated during the season?
Yes. Scores recalculate with the latest stats every week throughout the season.
How much does it cost?
$39 for the 2026 season, or $99 once for lifetime access — same features on both. One-time payment, no auto-renew.
How does roster construction differ between DK and FD scoring systems?
Roster construction differs mostly because DraftKings rewards volume more and FanDuel rewards touchdowns and roster flexibility more. That means DK lineups usually lean harder into high-target receivers, pass-catching backs, and stacking, while FD lineups are often more TD-centric and can tolerate more low-catch, high-touch players.
Main scoring differences
- DraftKings gives full PPR, so receptions matter more and high-volume pass catchers gain value.
- FanDuel uses half-PPR, so receptions are worth less and touchdown production matters relatively more.
- DraftKings also has yardage bonuses, while FanDuel does not, which further boosts players who pile up raw yardage.
Roster-building impact
- On DraftKings, you can lean into cheaper high-floor receivers and RB/WR stacks because catch volume adds up faster.
- On FanDuel, you generally prioritize touchdown equity, so bruising backs and red-zone threats become more attractive.
- FanDuel pricing is often softer, which can make lineups chalkier and reduce the need for extreme value hunting compared with DK.
Practical lineup style
- DK tends to reward balanced or correlation-heavy builds, especially when a player can score through receptions and yardage in addition to touchdowns.
- FD often pushes you toward a more star-driven build, since the scoring system makes elite TD outcomes more important than reception volume.
- A simple example: a 7-catch, 65-yard, 0-TD receiver is much more useful on DK than FD, while a 90-yard, 2-TD runner gets a bigger relative boost on FD.
If you want a quick shortcut: DK = volume and correlation; FD = touchdowns and raw upside.